Sitemap - 2026 - Neil’s Substack

⚾ 2026 MLB Elo Power Ratings, Playoff Odds & Wins Above Replacement (WAR) rankings 📈

🏀 2026 WNBA Elo Team Power Rankings and Player Rankings 📈

🏀 2025-26 NBA Elo Forecast and Player Ratings 📈

The Week That Was (May 25-29, 2026)

🏒 2025-26 NHL Team Elo Power Rankings & Goals Above Replacement Player Ratings 📉

The beautiful game (seven)

Claude Lemieux Was a Good Player Who Turned Great For the Playoffs

The kid and the Canes

Cam Schlittler Gives the Yankees Their Rarest Kind of Star: a Homegrown Ace

Coming up aces

Baseball's 2026 Standings Are Acting Like 2025 Never Happened

Brunson and the brooms

The Avalanche Are About to Become the NHL’s Most Stunning Sweep Victim Since, Well, the Last One

🏁 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Driver Rankings 🚗

Why Bobby Witt Jr. Is Baseball's New Power-Speed Prototype

The Week That Was (May 18-22, 2026)

Legends never die

Farewell, Rowdy

Unicorns and uniforms

The End of White Jerseys at Home Goes Beyond Nike and the NBA

Mismatches and whiplashes

This Year's NHL Final Four Is a Tale of Two Mismatches

He has arrived

The National League Suddenly Owns Interleague Play

Final fours and fourth choices

The Spurs Are Still the Thunder's Biggest Problem

The Week That Was (May 11-15, 2026)

Keeping it weird

Don’t fear the schedule

Carlos Delgado Wasn't a Hall of Famer — But He Looked Like One

When to overreact

The PGA Championship Is Golf's Democratic Major. It Just Doesn't Know It.

It's True: LeBron's Lakers Stint Was Indeed a Success

Heavy is the crown

The Canadiens Are Canada's Last Hope

The 1-month mark

Bobby Cox Ran a Dynasty Greater Than Its Ring Count

The Week That Was (May 4-8, 2026)

The cream is rising

Who Won the 2026 WNBA Offseason?

The gossip and the gallop

Maybe The New-Manager Bounce Is Real After All

Surprise, surprise

Alex Zanardi Made You Believe

Business is booming

The Minnesota Wild Took Down a Colorado Avalanche Dynasty Once Before

Rounding up

All Signs Point to the Knicks — Which Is the Problem

The Week That Was (April 27-May 1, 2026)

And they’re off

What to Watch For at the 2026 Kentucky Derby

Returns and redos

The Reds Are Running Baseball's Ultimate Stars-and-Scrubs Experiment

It’s getting complicated

When Dale Earnhardt Jr. Stepped Out of His Dad's Shadow in Texas

The big comeback

Rob Thomson Was the Phillies' Fixer — Until He Became Their Next Fix

Minnesota and Dallas Are Still Settling Their Hockey Divorce

It’s a marathon, and a sprint

The Nuggets Are Running Out of Time With Nikola Jokić

The Red Sox Cycle Comes for Alex Cora

The Week That Was (April 20-24, 2026)

Collision courses

The NL East Is Reverting to Historical Form

Draft daze

After Fernando Mendoza, Then What?

All mixed up

The Pistons Dominated One NBA. Now They Have to Survive the Other.

Wild charts can’t be broken

Don't Tell Buffalo and Montreal the NHL Playoffs Aren't Any Place For Young Teams

It’s on now

Garret Anderson Was the Angels' Constant

The Week That Was (April 13-17, 2026)

Postseason mega-weekend!

We Should Appreciate the Mike Trout Renaissance While We Can

Playoffs, please

Quarterback Drafts Are in Their "Feast or Famine" Era

Breaking barriers, breaking records

The Red Wings' Lost Decade

Liminal sports

A Defense of the NBA Play-In Tournament

Playing in… to history

Rory Held Off the Old Ghosts on Sunday at Augusta

The Week That Was (April 6-10, 2026)

Teams (and pucks) sneaking in

Goaltending Usually Drives the NHL Standings. Not This Year.

Green jackets and good jackets

Is Augusta National No Longer a Bomber's Paradise?

Challengers and challenges

NASCAR Live: Neil Paine joins to preview Bristol

Home Again at The Trop, the Rays Are Back Where They Win

Hail! Hail! to Michigan

🏀2026 NCAA Tournament Forecast 📊

Michigan Was Too Much For UConn — and Everyone Else

The dominators and the dynasty

Michigan's Final Championship Task: To Out-UConn UConn

The Week That Was (March 30-April 3, 2026)

How MLB's Big Extension Bets Are Changing

Finally Four

Most of the NHL Playoff Bracket is Settled (Except For All the Parts That Aren't)

No foolin’

The Phillies' Win-Now Balancing Act Is Already Being Tested

Oops, all chalk

Vegas' Coaching Change Was Certainly Late — But Was It Also Too Little, or Just Right?

A shocker sets the Final Four

This Final Four Has 3 Great Teams Stuck in Long Title Droughts — and 1 Good Team Who's Not

The Week That Was (March 23-27, 2026)

Overreactions, and regular reactions

Which Kentucky Derby Prep Races Best Predict the Triple Crown?

Live MLB Opening Day Neil-Cast!

Live MLB Opening Day Neil-Cast!

Rookie fights and rough nights

Ranking the Sweet 16 Games by Their "Butterfly Effect" Value

Play ball!

How Many Wins Will Get You Into the 2026 MLB Playoffs?

Cinderella Cavs

Who Has the Most to Prove This MLB Season?

How Sweet (16) it is

No Glass Slippers Allowed at This Sweet 16 Party

The Week That Was (March 16-20, 2026)

A new favorite already??

Arkansas Is Rising. Duke Might Be Vulnerable.

Bring on the Madness

The NCAA Tournament's Selection Committee is Surrendering to the Machines

Market Madness

The WBC Is Over. Soon, the Real Baseball Season Can Begin.

A Classic with complications

Forget the Usual 11-6 and 12-5 Upsets. Bank on Illinois and the Dangerous Middle Seeds.

March Madness has arrived

This Year's Bracket Belongs to the Powerhouses

The Week That Was (March 9-13, 2026)

Knockout season

Bam Adebayo's 83-Point Game Lacked Mythology More Than Legitimacy

Players and trophies

Geno Smith Had to Leave the Jets to Get Good. Can He Rewrite the Story Now?

Eighty-Three

The Women's Basketball Field Keeps Getting Better. So Does UConn.

Take it to the bank

The 2026 QB Market is Full of Chaos Agents

Champ Week!

The Sabres' Playoff Drought Lasted Generations — But It's Almost Over

The Week That Was (March 2-6, 2026)

The tires, they are a-changin’

Lou Holtz Was College Football's Original Turnaround Artist

Instant classic

Why F1's 2026 Title Odds Look Nothing Like 2025's

Franchises and transitions

Who Needs to Make a Move at the NHL Trade Deadline?

March Madness, (sort of) underway

Japan Is the WBC Standard — So Why Is the U.S. Favored?

The race is on

Will the Raiders Ruin Fernando Mendoza?

The Week That Was (February 23-27, 2026)

Make your case

Miami of Ohio Is Undefeated, Unprecedented... and Still Uncertain

It’s measurement season

The Strike Zone We (Think We) Want

Welcome back, NHL

My 🔥Burning Questions🔥 for the Stretch Run of the 2025-26 NHL Season

A turn in the lockout odds

The Celtics Are Thriving Without Jayson Tatum. That’s Why His Return Could Get Complicated.

Arrivederci!

Team USA Finally Got Its Golden Breakthrough Against Canada

The Week That Was (February 16-20, 2026)

Flame goes out, games go on

It Took Alysa Liu's Improbable Comeback to Put U.S. Women’s Figure Skating Back on Top

Grudge match for gold

The U.S. Women Finally Have Their Olympic Curling Moment

As the stone curls

Dale Earnhardt Owned the NASCAR Spotlight — and Still Does

Viva l’Italia!

The NBA Knows How to End Tanking — But It May Not Want To

Ilia Malinin and the Curse of the American Olympic Coronation

The Week That Was (February 9-13, 2026)

All the stars are shining

The North Dakota State FBS Experiment is Finally Here

Spring (training) is in the air

🏅 Who's Winning The 2026 Olympic Medal Race — And Who's Beating History?

Hunting for hardware

Scoreboard Newsletter Archives

The NBA Trade Deadline Was Deeply Weird

Stars, stripes, and stones

The Seahawks' Next (and Harder) Task: Avoid Being a One-Off

Super Seahawks

📈2025 NFL Power Ratings and Projections🏈

Seattle’s "Dark Side" Defense Joined the Legion of Boom in Super Bowl Lore

The Week That Was (February 2-6, 2026)

🏈🎙️ Football Bytes: Super Bowl Prop-Fest '26

Just another Super Sunday

Patriots-Seahawks Could Have Been St. Louis vs. Anaheim

Which Countries Define the Winter Olympics?

Going for the gold

Will the NHL Pick Up Where It Left Off After the Olympics?

A Super Bowl proposition

Who Would Get the Most Out of a Trade-Deadline Upgrade?

We’ve got the CBA blues

The Paradox of Sports Video Gaming

Groundhog Week

The Seahawks Are Huge Super Bowl Favorites (*by current-day standards)

The Week That Was (January 26-30, 2026)

Djokers and Sinners

UConn Built Its Dynasty in Tennessee's Shadow. Now the Tables Are Turned.

Trading on trades

A pair of Final Fours Down Under

The Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo Era Is Ending Not With a Bang, But a Whimper

How the Patriots and Seahawks Got Back To the Super Bowl

Ascensions and redemptions

It’s the Patriots and Seahawks (again)

What to Watch for in Super Bowl LX

Can Arizona Finally Act Like the Best Team in the Country?

The Week That Was (January 19-23, 2026)

Touchdowns and takedowns

The Maple Leafs Can’t Escape the Bubble

Baseball on the brain

🏈🎙️ Football Bytes: The Emergency Backup QB Has Entered the Chat

What Carlos Beltrán — and Especially Andruw Jones — Say About the Hall of Fame's Evolving Standards

Rare scores and open doors

The NFL's Championship Round is a Tale of Four Very Different Quarterbacks

From doormats to destiny

Where Does Indiana Rank Among All-Time Champions?

What We Learned From the NFL's Divisional Round

The Week That Was (January 12-16, 2026)

Big games, big wallets

Who Will Advance In the AFC Playoffs This Weekend? Flip a Coin — Literally.

🏈🎙️ Football Bytes: Who's the Chaos Quarterback Now?

Rivals on a collision course

College Hoops Is a Weird Scramble of Banners and Baggage This Season

New beginnings and goodbyes

Mike Tomlin Was the NFL's Ultimate Floor-Raiser

Arbitrations and salutations

What We Learned From the NFL's Wild Card Round

College Football's Expanded Playoff Works. Its Rhythm Doesn't.

A wild (card) weekend in football

The Week That Was (January 5-9, 2026)

Hockey’s newest teen idol

The Bills and Jaguars Are Too Good to Exit the Playoffs This Early

🏈🎙️ Football Bytes: We're Talking About Playoffs

The (Semi) Final Four

After Decades of the Same Dudes, the Super Bowl Is Due for a New QB (or Two)

Olympic ice

What Would a Championship Version of Trae Young Look Like?

The Trae market

Beyond the Streak: What — and Whom — is Standing Between the Sabres and the End of Their Drought?

Bracket busters

Who Will Win Super Bowl LX?

The Week That Was (December 29, 2025-January 2, 2026)

Next-bests and ice tests

Just How Bad Is the NFC South, Really?

🏈🎙️ Football Bytes: Worst. Week. Ever.