Neil’s Substack

Neil’s Substack

Home
Notes
Basketball
Hockey
Baseball
Football
Racing
Forecast Models
Weekly Round-Ups
The Junk Drawer
Archive
About
🏀 2024-25 NBA Forecast and Estimated RAPTOR Ratings 📈
Track how I'm forecasting every team’s chance to make — and win — the NBA Finals, all season long.
 • 
Neil Paine
22
🏒 2024-25 NHL Team Elo Power Rankings & Goals Above Replacement Player Ratings 📉
Power ratings and forecasts for every NHL team and player this season.
 • 
Neil Paine
🏀2024-25 NCAA Tournament Meta-Forecast 📊
Track each Division I men's basketball team's odds to make the NCAA tourney field.
 • 
Neil Paine
3
When Will Alex Ovechkin Break Wayne Gretzky's NHL Goals Record?
Our new Ovi Tracker projects his path to 894+ career goals.
 • 
Neil Paine
1
Interview: Out of the Park Baseball 26 with Rich Grisham
I spoke with Grisham, the game's development manager, about the evolution of sports sims, the future of the genre, and what’s next for the legendary…
 • 
Neil Paine
1:03:24
The Dallas Stars Have Leveled Up — Now It’s Time to Win the Cup 🏆
With Mikko Rantanen on board, Dallas has all the pieces to win it all... and no excuses left.
 • 
Neil Paine
Is Winning the SEC Tournament Really Harder than Winning the National Championship?
Yes, the SEC is stacked, but the math doesn’t quite add up.
 • 
Neil Paine
🏁 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Driver Rankings 🚗
Tracking the top drivers in the sport, all season long.
 • 
Neil Paine
A Trio of Goons: NHL Trade Deadline + Ovechkin/Gretzky Edition!
Neil and Walt chat with the great Gare Joyce about deadline moves, Ovi's record chase and Canada's strained relationship with Wayne Gretzky.
 • 
Neil Paine
, 
Gare Joyce
, and 
Walter Hickey
1:02:45
📝 The Week That Was (March 1-7, 2025)
A roundup of what I wrote, read, watched, etc. over the past week.
 • 
Neil Paine
1
The Cubs and Blue Jays "Won" the Offseason — But Will It Mean Anything?
MLB’s busiest teams look great on paper... but history suggests the regular season will have the final say.
 • 
Neil Paine
The NHL Trade Deadline Has Made a Comeback in Recent Years
More productive players were on the move in the past few seasons. Will that trend continue in 2025?
 • 
Neil Paine
© 2025 Neil Paine
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture