Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Notes
Basketball
Baseball
Football
Hockey
Racing
Other Sports
Forecast Models
Weekly Round-Ups
The Junk Drawer
Archive
About
Baseball
Latest
Top
Discussions
⚾ 2026 MLB Elo Power Ratings, Playoff Odds & Wins Above Replacement (WAR) rankings 📈
The following table is a list of MLB teams with their Elo ratings and their predicted wins throughout the 2026 season.
2 hrs ago
•
Neil Paine
28
3
24
The Orioles Won the Adley Rutschman Trade Because They Lost Their Bright Future
Baltimore landed a huge haul for their former franchise catcher — but only after their seemingly inevitable championship window failed to open.
Aug 5
•
Neil Paine
22
3
2
Where Does the Dodgers' New Super-Rotation Rank in MLB History?
Tarik Skubal gives L.A. a superstar ace, but their truly historic advantage may be in a modern abundance of October options.
Aug 4
•
Neil Paine
16
1
The Dodgers Haven't Ruined Baseball. (Yet.)
And a salary cap wouldn't stop them anyway — nor is it supposed to.
Aug 2
•
Neil Paine
39
8
Are the Phillies Phavorites or Phrauds?
Depending on how you look at them, the answer is … yes.
Jul 30
•
Neil Paine
20
1
3
In MLB's Year of Incomplete Contenders, the Nationals Are the Most Lopsided of All
Washington's explosive offense and terrible run-prevention make them the most extreme example in a playoff race full of teams who excel at one thing and…
Jul 29
•
Neil Paine
28
3
Almost Everybody in Baseball Is Still a Buyer
Or at least, they can make the case. How do you separate trade-deadline contenders from pretenders when 80% of MLB is within 5 games of a playoff spot?
Jul 28
•
Neil Paine
19
1
2
Pete Crow-Armstrong Is the Key to All of This
Why the fate of the Chicago Cubs — and maybe the whole MLB season — rests on the game's most mercurial superstar.
Jul 23
•
Neil Paine
25
1
6
The Red Sox Won Themselves Into a Deadline Dilemma
Boston's historic surge has turned a lost season into a likely playoff run. Now comes the harder question: How much should the front office believe in…
Jul 22
•
Neil Paine
9
2
We Don't Know What We Want From All-Star Games
Fans rejected the NBA's artificial spectacle. Then baseball gave them something more real — and they hated that, too.
Jul 16
•
Neil Paine
8
1
2
Baseball's All-Stars Live in the Present
First-half performance dominates All-Star Game selections more than ever — except in the bullpen, where reputation still matters some.
Jul 14
•
Neil Paine
10
2
2
The HR Derby's Lefties Are Poised to Break The Bank
Citizens Bank Park has become the most lefty-friendly Derby venue in recent history, giving Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper — among others — a built-in…
Jul 13
•
Neil Paine
20
4
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts