📈2025 NFL Power Ratings and Projections🏈
Ratings, Elo rankings and forecasts for every NFL team this season.
The following table is a list of NFL teams with their point-spread power ratings and Elo ratings with projected wins for the 2025 season. Scroll further down for projections of upcoming games and QB Expected Points Added (EPA) ratings. And you can find last year’s NFL rankings page here.
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🏈 2025 NFL Playoff Predictor Forecast 📈
How it works: These power ratings are based on the same essential framework as the Simple Rating System, but they account for home-field advantage and the recency of each game.1 Results from this season are also blended into a long-term prior power rating that combines a team’s previous three seasons’ ratings2 with inferred ratings from a mix of betting- and prediction-market odds to give a best estimate of a team’s quality on offense and defense going forward. Those ratings then are used to simulate the season (complete with tie-breakers!) using the amazing nflseedR package for R.
🏈 Upcoming NFL games 👀
🏈 2025 NFL QB EPA ratings 💪
📊 Historical Elo and QB Data Spreadsheet
Similar to in the NBA, NHL, MLB and WNBA, this season paid subscribers will have access to a constantly updating spreadsheet of historical QB EPA metrics, plus historical team metrics and seasonal team Elo rating summaries for all of NFL history.
The link for the folder is below the paywall:
