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⚽ 2026 World Cup Odds Tracker 📈
Aggregating each team's Polymarket odds to advance through, and win, the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 19
•
Neil Paine
78
21
Spain, the Best Team (Maybe Ever?), Won One of the Best World Cups Ever... Eventually
La Roja dominated Argentina from start to finish, but needed extra time to complete a record-breaking championship run.
Jul 19
•
Neil Paine
38
1
1
Spain Won't Fall Behind. Argentina Can't Be Put Away. Something Has to Give.
Spain has not trailed for a single minute of the knockout stage; Argentina has trailed more than any Finalist since 1966, only to keep escaping late.
Jul 17
•
Neil Paine
20
2
What a Major-Less Season Would Cost Scottie Scheffler
Golf's aging curve says the world's No. 1 player still has time to build his major résumé. But it also says every empty prime year matters.
Jul 15
•
Neil Paine
19
2
The World Cup's Party-Crashers Make Their Last Stand
The greatest Final Four in World Cup history is within reach — and France, Argentina, Spain and England should each win. But the odds say at least one…
Jul 8
•
Neil Paine
19
1
2
More Talent — and One Big FIFA Reversal — Still Bought the USMNT the Same Old Result
Despite higher expectations than ever, the Stars and Stripes bowed out in the Round of 16 like always.
Jul 7
•
Neil Paine
28
1
4
World Cup Soccer Is a Lot Less Random Than You Think
For a chaotic sport where most games are decided by 1 goal, the better team usually prevails — especially in the biggest games.
Jul 6
•
Neil Paine
12
1
The U.S. is Off to a Historic World Cup Start. How Much Does That Matter?
The USMNT's group-stage numbers rank among the best in tournament history, but history tells us what comes next is complicated.
Jun 21
•
Neil Paine
10
2
1
Tommy Fleetwood Is Running Out of Reasons Not to Win a Major
Fleetwood has already authored two of the greatest U.S. Open closing rounds ever. Now, back at the course where he nearly stole one, the numbers say he…
Jun 17
•
Neil Paine
10
1
3
Brazil Is Still Brazil. But Is That Enough Anymore?
The Seleção still have their history, stars and iconic yellow shirts. But in the modern World Cup, Brazil is less "default favorite" than one contender…
Jun 11
•
Neil Paine
18
2
Is the U.S. Men’s National Team Finally Ready for a Breakthrough?
After years of wondering what was holding American men’s soccer back, the U.S. looks more talented, more connected and more sophisticated than ever. Now…
Jun 5
•
Neil Paine
20
1
2
The PGA Championship Is Golf's Democratic Major. It Just Doesn't Know It.
The PGA sells itself as the strongest-field major, but its history suggests a different calling card: the major most willing to mint an unexpected…
May 14
•
Neil Paine
14
3
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