Sitemap - 2024 - Neil’s Substack

The Week That Was (April 29-May 3, 2024)

📈2024 MLB Elo Power Ratings, Playoff Odds and Wins Above Replacement (WAR) rankings⚾

📉2023-24 NHL Team Elo Power Rankings & Goals Above Replacement Player Ratings🏒

🏀2023-24 NBA Estimated RAPTOR Player Ratings and Wins Above Replacement 🦖

📈2023-24 NBA Elo Power Rankings 🏀

🏀 2023-24 NBA Forecast 📈

This Colorado Avalanche Offense Is Historically Scary

Mike Trout and the Fragile Pursuit of GOATdom

🏒 2024 PWHL Power Rankings and Game Predictions ❄️

What Do We Make of the 2024 Red Sox? (What Do We EVER Make of the Red Sox?)

Elly De La Cruz Gave Us a Glimpse Last Season. Now We’re Getting the Full Picture.

The Cleveland Guardians Are So Back

🏁 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Driver Rankings 🚗

The Week That Was (April 22-26, 2024)

Michael Penix Jr. Is Cursed! (Maybe.)

NFL Teams Still Can't Beat the Draft

The L.A. Kings’ Potential Misery Has Some Company — But Not Much

This Texas-Sized Rookie Rivalry Isn’t Much of One... Yet

Are the Astros in Big Trouble?

The Week That Was (April 15-19, 2024)

The White Sox Fumbled Away Their Future in Historic Fashion

What Was the Arizona Coyotes’ Legacy?

Anthony Volpe’s Arrival as a Star Could Mean Big Things for the Yankees

The Stanley Cup Might Depend on Which Underperforming Goalie Steps Up

The Weeks That Were (Apr. 1-12, 2024)

What Do We Do When a Great Athlete Is a Bad Person?

MLB's Pitching Elbow Injuries Are on the Rise — And More Costly than Ever

Where Does Bronny James Rank among the NBA Draft's Worst One-and-Done Players?

UConn Built Arguably the Most Dominant Men’s Champ in Modern History. Then They Did It Again.

Is UConn-Purdue the Best NCAA Men’s Final Ever? (*On Paper)

Neil’s Substack Will Be Back after a Short Break

Caitlin Clark and Iowa Met Every Challenge

Where Does UConn’s Dominance Rank on the Road to the Final Four?

The Week That Was (Mar. 25-29, 2024)

The Futility of Trout

Paige Bueckers’ Rise Was Interrupted. Now She’s Ascending Again.

Jordan Montgomery to the Diamondbacks caps off MLB’s Best Offseason

What Out Of The Park Baseball 25 Thinks About The '24 Season

Where to Find My Stats, Rankings, Content, Models and Data 📈 👀

2024 MLB Composite Preseason Projections

This Is One of the Best — And the Most Experienced — Men’s Sweet 16’s in Recent History

The Week That Was (Mar. 18-22, 2024)

The Philadelphia Flyers Will Probably Be a Playoff Team. They Don’t Look like One.

My freelance story archive

Does It Matter That the Oilers and Stars Don’t Beat Good Teams?

Is Chase Elliott Finally Ready to Win Again?

The NBA’s Midseason Scoring Crackdown Also Made Games Less Predictable

Which NCAA Men’s Tournament Teams Are Better (Or Worse) Overall Picks than Their Seed Indicates?

Which NCAA Men’s Tournament Teams Are Better First-Round Picks than Their Seed Indicates?

The Week That Was (Mar. 11-15, 2024)

The Stunning Rise of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

These Teams Could Be Your Men's March Madness Sleepers

Mike Modano’s Monumental Legacy

Mookie Betts Is Attempting an Unprecedented Move

Where Sixers-Knicks Ranks Among Recent NBA ”Unders”

These Are the Coaches to Avoid in the Men’s NCAA Tournament

The Week That Was (Mar. 4-8, 2024)

Does the NHL Trade Deadline Matter?

Predictions! 13 Writers on a Boston vs. Denver NBA Finals

The Vegas Golden Knights Are Gearing up to Save Their Repeat Bid

Are the San Francisco Giants Trying to Win or Not?

The 2023-24 Boston Celtics Are One of the Greatest Regular-Season Teams in NBA History

A Visual Guide to the 2024 NHL Trade Deadline

When Will Caitlin Clark Break The All-Time Scoring Record?

The Week That Was (Feb. 26-Mar. 1, 2024)

How Good Will Caitlin Clark Be In the WNBA Right Away?

Who Is the NBA’s Most Underrated Player (And Is It Herb Jones)?

The 10 Best Canadian NHL Teams of the Stanley Cup Drought Era

Anthony Kim Is Back. How Good Could He Have Been?

Does Cody Bellinger’s Return Save the Cubs’ 2024 Potential?

This NASCAR podcast is careening dangerously close to being a golf podcast

Kyle Busch Buschwhacks Again!

The Week That Was (Feb. 19-23, 2024)

Doc Rivers, James Harden and the Problem with Pile-On Predictions

The Warriors Specialize in Perplexing the Predictors

Auston Matthews Is Having One of the NHL’s Greatest Goal-Scoring Seasons

NASCAR’s Best Driver Just Won the Daytona 500. That Doesn’t Usually Happen.

The NBA All-Star Game’s Descent into Sports Uncanny Valley Continues

How the Florida Panthers Made It to the Top of the NHL

Who needs a Super Bowl at the end of the season? That's for losers.

The Week That Was (Feb. 12-16, 2024)

14 Takes: The NBA's Spectacular Rookie Class

Why Isn’t Jayson Tatum Getting More MVP Buzz?

Where Do the 2023-24 Chiefs Rank among the Toughest Super Bowl Paths?

🏁 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Preview 🚗

The Finder pod: Analytics storyteller Neil Paine

An Early Look at 2024 MLB Predictions

📈2023 NFL Elo Ratings, Projections and Expected Points Added Rankings🏈

Patrick Mahomes Is Literally Impossible to Stop When You Need to Stop Him

There’s No Limit to the Bets You Can Make on Patrick Mahomes

The Week That Was (Feb. 5-9, 2024)

NBA Offenses Got More Efficient by Giving Fewer Shots to the Most Efficient Players. (I’ll Explain.)

14 Quick Takes on the NBA Trade Deadline

Who Added (Or Subtracted) the Most at the NBA Trade Deadline?

Brock Purdy Is Only *Sort Of* a "System Quarterback"

My 🔥 Burning Questions 🔥 for the Second Half of the NHL Season

🏈Bucky’s Bowls🦜 Returns: My Pet Parrot Picks the Super Bowl Winner

Expecting Patrick Mahomes’ Career to Match Tom Brady’s Is Unrealistic

How the Chiefs and Niners Made It (Back) to the Super Bowl

We're So Back

The Week That Was (Jan. 29-Feb. 2, 2024)

A Brief History of Ferrari Signing Former F1 World Champions (Like Lewis Hamilton)

Is the NBA’s 65-Game Awards Threshold Unreasonable?

Back on the ‘Stack

Can the L.A. Kings Pull Out of Their Tailspin?

Belichick’s Statistical Secret Sauce: Can It Ever Be Replicated?

Chiefs-Niners Is One of the Super Bowl's Weirdest Rematches

📈2023-24 NFL Playoff Predictor🏈

Luka and Embiid’s 70-Point Games Are Part of a High-Scoring NBA Trend

Is the Big Three of Men’s Tennis Losing Its Grip for Good?

Why the Utah Jazz Are in One of the NBA’s Weirdest — But Maybe Also Best — Spots

Sidney Crosby Is Turning Back the Clock. Unfortunately, the Pittsburgh Penguins Are Not.

Adrian Griffin Fired: How Historically Unusual Was the Bucks’ Move?

Is Joel Embiid the Greatest Scorer in NBA History?

Five Times Lebron James Did (Or Didn’t) Turn Around a .500 Team at Midseason

Pascal Siakam’s Pacers Trade Is a Farewell to the 2019 Champion Raptors

Move Over, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Derrick White Might Be the Celtics’ Most Essential Player.

How the "Caitlin Clark Effect" Has Evolved over Time

PWHL Power Rankings: How We’re Predicting Results for the Brand New League

Nick Saban Just Retired. Who’s Alabama’s Most Saban-Like Choice to Succeed Him?

Kawhi Leonard Isn’t Managing the Load — He’s Shouldering It

In a Historically Offensive NBA Season, How Much Should Defense Factor into the MVP Decision?

NFL Playoffs Predictor: Can Anyone Stop the Ravens and 49ers?

How Much Did The Highest-Paid Female Athletes Make Just From Playing in 2023?

The Oklahoma City Thunder Are Rolling — But Are They Playoff-Ready?