Sitemap - 2023 - Neil’s Substack

Move Over, Marvin Harrison Jr., Here Comes Malik Nabers: Who Are The Prospects We’ll Be Toasting in 2024?

What I Learned From Sports in 2023

Can Jordan Poole Get Back On The Right Track?

The State of the NBA as We Approach Christmas Day 🏀🎄

Caitlin Clark Found a Way to Get Even Better

Is It Too Late for Ja Morant to Save the Grizzlies?

Craig Berube and the St. Louis Blues Fell Victim to a Provable Point: Winning Again Is Even Harder

The Warriors Are Struggling — But Don’t Blame Chris Paul

The Pull of Juan Soto Was Irresistible for the New York Yankees. Too Bad He’s Not Really a Pull Hitter.

The Dodgers Paid Double Market Value for Shohei Ohtani’s Future WAR — And They Were Happy to Do It

The Indiana Pacers Are (Literally) Built Different

What To Give the Boston Bruins, L.A. Kings and 5 More Stanley Cup Contenders This Holiday Season🎁

It’s OK to Be Excited about the Knicks

Are the Fast-Starting Los Angeles Kings, New York Rangers and Vancouver Canucks for Real?

How to Unleash College Football Playoff Chaos

Why the Houston Rockets’ Bold Team-Building Experiment Is Working

Where Have All the NBA’s Little Guys Gone?

Connor McDavid’s Slow Start Shows How Desperately the Oilers Need Him At His Best

James Harden May Need to Be the ‘System’ for Clippers to Succeed

Are the Luka Dončić-Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks Figuring It Out?

The San Jose Sharks May Be the Worst Team in Hockey History

The Championship is Here

Previewing the NASCAR Cup Series’ Championship Race

📈2023 MLB Elo Ratings & Composite Playoff Odds⚾

The Texas Rangers Know Nothing Is Certain Until They Hoist the World Series Trophy

📈Updated NASCAR Cup Series Playoff Rankings🏁

The Detroit Red Wings Are Finally Ready to Rejoin the NHL’s Elite. (Maybe.)

2023 World Series Preview: Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Diamondbacks Stunned the Phillies

Key NBA Storylines for 2023-24 — And Introducing The Messenger’s NBA Forecast Model

Jose Altuve Is a Clutch Postseason Hitting Machine

The Las Vegas Aces Aren’t Just Back-To-Back Champs — They Might Be WNBA GOATs

How Two Days Changed What We Thought We Knew about the MLB Postseason

The Houston Astros Reminded Everyone Why They’re the Reigning Champs

The Phillies Are Playing like the Most Dominant Team in Postseason History

Philadelphia Phillies’ Bats Come Up as Aces in NLCS Opener

Winning the ALCS Opener Made the Texas Rangers World Series Co-Favorites

Evan Carter Has the Texas Rangers Poised to Win the Lone Star State — And Make the World Series

Previewing the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs’ Round of 8

The Baltimore Orioles Are Built to Win the World Series — Just Not This Season

Yordan Alvarez Is a Once-in-a-Generation Slugger Who Can No Longer Be Overlooked

Why the Fifth Wheel in the New York Liberty’s Star-Studded Lineup Might Be Its Most Important

Young Stars, Second-Guessing Season and the Feel-Good Twins: Takeaways from MLB’s Blink-and-You’ll-Miss-It Wild-Card Round

C.J. Stroud’s Rookie Year Is Launching with a Bang

MLB Playoffs: The Atlanta Braves Are the World Series Champs — Until They Aren’t

NWSL Playoff Scenarios Are Chaos — And We Have A Chart to Prove It

Forget Travis Kelce: If Taylor Swift Were an NFL Player, She’d Be Tom Brady

How MLB’s New Rules Changed the Game in 2023

2023 Was the Year of Stolen Bases in MLB. Here’s What That Means for the Playoffs.

The Candy Man, The Candy Man, The Candy Man

Previewing the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs’ Round of 12

Max Verstappen Didn’t Win Last Week. It Made His Season Look Better.

What Would Happen If Men’s Tennis Grand Slams Were Best-of-3?

Handicapping the Final Surge to the MLB Postseason

We call on the Price Chopper corporation to fix their awful mistake

Yes, Aaron Rodgers’ Injury Lowers the New York Jets’ Ceiling. But Exactly How Much?

Did The Celtics' Offseason Moves Improve Them As Contenders?

2023 Is The Year Of The Worst Baseball Teams That Money Can Buy

Everything Is Bigger in Texas. Even the Slumps.

New WNBA Records Are Fun, but They Need Context

Speedy Sweeties and their Darlington Darlings

These 5 Numbers Will Speak Volumes About The 2023 NFL Season

Brain Food: Why Zack Greinke is Having the Worst Season of Any Ex-Cy Young Winner Ever

Ronald Acuña Jr. Is Mr. Baseball For 2023

Playoffs Preview Promises Potentially Portentous Podracing

NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs: What to Watch For

Shohei Ohtani vs. Aaron Judge: Who’s MLB’s Most Prodigious Power Hitter?

How the Seattle Mariners Went From Postseason Longshots to World Series Contenders

Georgia Follows The Perilous Path Of Defending Champs With New QBs

José Bautista Was Baseball’s Greatest Late Bloomer

How the Yankees Slid Into the Abyss

Why the Liberty Have Been Beating the Aces Like the Aces Beat the Rest of the WNBA

Matt Olson Launches Himself Into the MVP Race

The New York Liberty's Superteam Blueprint Is Working To Perfection

Lucky Number Thirteen Baby

Luis Arraez Probably Won’t Hit .400... But He Can Still Surpass Ted Williams

The San Diego Padres Are the Unluckiest Team in Baseball

Steve Cohen Said The Probabilistic Part Out Loud

Working our way down the relevancy of nuts and fruit

How Chase Elliott Can Still Make the NASCAR Playoffs

The Las Vegas Aces Are the Greatest Team in WNBA History, Unless…

Where Things Stand as the Dust Settles on MLB’s Trade Deadline

Aaron Judge’s Return Can’t Come Soon Enough for the Yankees

Thanks for all the elevens out there!

The Difference Between Probability and a Prayer: The Angels’ All-In Bet With Shohei Ohtani Is Probably Doomed

Where Did Michael Jordan’s Hornets Tenure Go Wrong?

Trading for Shohei Ohtani Would Put Him on a WAR Path With History

The Top Hitters Who Should Be In Demand at MLB’s Trade Deadline

Pitching Will Be In Demand — And Supply — This MLB Trade Deadline

Scott Rolen and Fred McGriff’s Induction Says More About the Hall of Fame Than It Does About Them

Recapping the current iteration of the That Look Dot Com 300

Will the Rangers, Orioles, Giants And MLB’s Other Surprise Contenders Keep Rolling?

Why the Running Back Market Went From a Gradual Decline to a Total Collapse

The Angels Must Trade Shohei Ohtani

Don’t Blame Hard Knocks If The Jets Disappoint

Will Julio Rodríguez Use His Record-Breaking HR Derby as a Launching Pad?

Let’s Referee an NFL Twitter Beef!

Michelle Wie West Didn’t Become Golf’s Biggest Star. That Doesn’t Make Her A Bust.

Cool things happen when you never know when it's going to end

Elly De La Cruz Is Missing From MLB’s All-Star Week, But He Could Be the Star of the Show

In A Waning Era Of All-Star Games, Baseball’s Midsummer Classic Still Holds Up

Damian Lillard and James Harden Are 5 Years Too Late to Truly Supercharge a Superteam

Real Podding, Real Cast

The Week That Was (June 24-30, 2023)

Two Sports Sickos talkin all about the Underbird

Domingo Germán's Perfect Game Was A Perfect Reminder That Baseball Is Weird As Hell

Erik Karlsson Wants To Play For A Winner. But Can A Winner Use Erik Karlsson?

The Curious Case Of John Collins

Breaking Down The Odds For NASCAR's Playoff-Bubble Drivers

2023's Braves Are Hotter Than The '90s Dynasty Braves Ever Were

The Week That Was (June 17-23, 2023)

This Is One Heckuva Surprising MLB Season

Settling A Michael Jordan Debate

The San Francisco Giants Are Defying Expectations, Again

Handing Out The NASCAR Hardware For 2023 (So Far)

Can The Suns Be Great With Bradley Beal?

NBA Consensus Plus/Minus Data

2023 NASCAR Cup Series Stat Leaders

The Week That Was (June 10-16, 2023)

Shohei Ohtani Is Having His Best Year Yet. Will It Finally Matter?

The Golden Knights Weren’t Like Other Stanley Cup Winners

Is Michael Harris II Following The Jeff Francoeur Career Path?

Vegas Passed All Of The NHL's Tests

The Royals And A's Are Racing To The Bottom

Denver’s Revenge Of The Regular Season

The Mets Deserve Their Bad Record

I Guest-Wrote Numlock News Today!

The Week That Was (June 3-9, 2023)

Dalvin Cook's Production Wasn't Enough

How Can Chase Elliott Make The Playoffs?

The Panthers Need Their Luck Back

Messi's Miami Move Continues A U.S. Soccer Tradition

Twilight Of The Mets' Pitching Gods

Did Golf Just Avoid The Messiest Divorce In Sports?

Should You Make Nikola Jokić Beat You As A Scorer, Not A Passer?

Is MLB's Balanced Schedule Working?

The Nuggets' Offense Has No Bad Options

Why The Golden Knights — Or Panthers! — Can Win The Stanley Cup

The Rays Are Proving The Randomness Of 1-Run Games

Will Rust Affect The Panthers?

Where Florida vs. Vegas Ranks Among Unexpected Stanley Cup Pairings

What The Celtics And Stars Are Trying To Do Is Special

NASCAR Cup Series Reset: Round 14, Charlotte

What Were MLB Forecasters' Best (And Boldest) Picks?

The Bubba Wallace Hate MUST End

The Florida Panthers Are All About The Weird Sweeps

The Texas Rangers' Experiment Is Working, In Spite Of Itself

Vegas And Florida Made Their Weaknesses Strengths

Kyle Larson Added To His All-Star Race Legend

NASCAR At North Wilkesboro Was Always An All-Star Spectacle

The Phillies Already Need Another Special Run

Who Will Play For The Stanley Cup?

This Final Four Is The Modern NHL's Sun Belt Dream

Cody Bellinger Is Back — Sort Of

The Oilers' Star Power Wasn't Enough

Where Do The Maple Leafs Go From Here?

NASCAR Cup Series Reset: Round 13, Darlington

Why Are The Mets Such A Mess?

If You Can’t Beat Ross Chastain... Fight Him?

Round 2 Of The NHL Playoffs Has Provided Goals... But Not Thrills

The Red Sox Doomers Were Wrong

Sergei Bobrovsky's Long, Winding Road Takes Another Turn

NASCAR Cup Series Reset: Round 12, Kansas

Matt Harvey And Baseball's Briefest-Burning Flames

The Cardinals' Customary Consistency Is Crumbling

The Orioles Are Still Here

Fernando Alonso Is Having F1's Greatest Old-Guy Season

Martin Truex Jr., Ryan Blaney, And NASCAR's Longest Winless Streaks

Resetting The NHL Playoff Picture

A Powerhouse Like The Bruins Hasn't Lost In Round 1 In 50+ Years

The Panthers Have Cracked The Bruins' Defensive Armor

The Champs On The Brink

The Rays Embrace The Churn

My "Old Games" Lists

The Kings Of Restrictor Plate-Racing

What Did — And Didn't — Surprise Me In The NHL's Opening-Round Game 1s

The Cubs' Turnaround Might Already Be Here

The Rays' Winning Streak Is Over — But Their Dominance Is Here To Stay

The Boston Bruins Are Cursed! (Maybe.)

538 Post: Why Each NHL Contender Will — Or Won't — Win The Stanley Cup

The Rays' Hot Start Is Historic

William Byron Is Having One Of NASCAR's Weirdest Seasons

538 Post: How Much Do Early-Season MLB Records Matter?

Was UConn The Most Dominant Men's Champ In Modern History?

Sidney Crosby And Alex Ovechkin Could Both Miss The 2023 NHL Playoffs

538 Post: How LSU Played The Game vs. Iowa That South Carolina Couldn't

What Does Opening Day Tell Us?

What Out Of The Park Baseball 24 Thinks About The '23 Season

538 Post: The Dodgers Are Still World Series Favorites — But They're The Weakest Favorite In Years

NCAA Tournament Prediction Accuracy Update: Revenge Of The Nerds

NASCAR's Best Road-Course Driver Isn't On The Track

Introducing NASCAR Composite Winning Percentage

538 Post: The Best NCAA Tournament Players Whose Teams Are Still Dancing

Japan Stands Alone Atop The WBC

Alexandar Georgiev Saved The Avalanche

Defending WBC Champs (U.S.) Or Elo No. 1 (Japan) — Who Ya Got?

Who Knew Best In NCAA Tournament Round 1?

Is Aaron Rodgers The Jets' Golden Super Bowl Ticket?

Dominican Republic v. Puerto Rico Will Be One Of The Best WBC Matchups Ever

Hendrick Motorsports Has Started Off A Season For The Ages

Who Can Actually Pull Off First-Round NCAA Tournament Upsets?

World Baseball Classic Elo Ratings Update

Making Sense Of The Dallas Stars' 10-Goal Barrage

Kevin Durant's Two Imaginary Juggernauts

Is Ryan Blaney The New Kasey Kahne?

Can Daniel Jones Pull Off An Encore?

538 Post: World Baseball Classic Preview!

Trackhouse Racing Is An Instant Powerhouse

538 Post: The Winners And Losers From MLB’s New Rules

Chase Elliott Is Out With A Broken Leg. Josh Berry Is In. What Now?

Who Won The NHL Trade Deadline?

Will Joey Logano Stay King Of Vegas?

Is Max Verstappen Inevitable Again?

How Mario Lemieux Beat Cancer — And Started A Comeback For The Ages

With Patrick Kane, These Aren't Last Year's Defensive-Minded Rangers

50 For McDavid Was An Overdue Testament To His Growing Greatness

Kyle Busch's 225th Win Was One Of His Finest

Why The Padres Had To Extend Manny Machado

The Anaheim Ducks Are A Defensive Disaster

The Bruins Are So Good They Just Picked Up A Totally Unnecessary Defenseman

Kyle Busch Can Make A Statement At Fontana

Patrick Kane Has Answered A Lot Of Doubters (Me Included!)

Bubba Wallace Is Good, Actually

Bally Sports And The Collapse Of MLB's Cable-TV Economic Era

Are The Red Sox Doomers Wrong?

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Is One Of Daytona's Great Underdog Stories

Patrick Kane's Next Team(s) Have A Dilemma

Victor Hedman Isn't Playing Like Victor Hedman Anymore

Gaudreau, Huberdeau, Tkachuk and Friction Costs

Even At His Worst, Tom Brady Had A GOAT-Worthy Finale

Coming soon