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🏀2026 NCAA Tournament Forecast 📊
Track each Division I men's basketball team's odds to make (and, later, win) the 2025 NCAA basketball tourney.
Apr 7
•
Neil Paine
42
1
14
Michigan Was Too Much For UConn — and Everyone Else
Even on an off-night offensively, the Wolverines showed their championship DNA by leaning on defense to finish a dominant run.
Apr 7
•
Neil Paine
22
1
Michigan's Final Championship Task: To Out-UConn UConn
The Wolverines are chasing one of the most dominant tournament runs ever — and the only thing standing in their way is the team that defined what…
Apr 6
•
Neil Paine
17
2
This Final Four Has 3 Great Teams Stuck in Long Title Droughts — and 1 Good Team Who's Not
Seldom is the Final Four's worst team on paper (UConn) the most recent champ, by far, but that's what the Huskies' remarkable comeback on Sunday now…
Mar 30
•
Neil Paine
13
1
2
Ranking the Sweet 16 Games by Their "Butterfly Effect" Value
All games affect the teams on the court, but some spill over into the rest of the bracket more than others.
Mar 26
•
Neil Paine
6
1
No Glass Slippers Allowed at This Sweet 16 Party
The opening weekend of this year's NCAA tournament had its moments, but a chalk-heavy field of power-conference teams has taken over the bracket.
Mar 23
•
Neil Paine
17
1
Arkansas Is Rising. Duke Might Be Vulnerable.
Assorted takeaways from opening day of the 2026 NCAA men's tournament.
Mar 20
•
Neil Paine
13
1
The NCAA Tournament's Selection Committee is Surrendering to the Machines
March Madness seeding used to be built on the "Eye Test" and human intuition. Now, it's more and more correlated with metrics — for better or worse.
Mar 18
•
Neil Paine
13
1
Forget the Usual 11-6 and 12-5 Upsets. Bank on Illinois and the Dangerous Middle Seeds.
Let's look at who fares better (and worse) in this year's men's NCAA men's tournament forecast, compared with historical seed performance.
Mar 17
•
Neil Paine
8
2
This Year's Bracket Belongs to the Powerhouses
...and other takeaways from the 2026 NCAA Men's Tournament bracket.
Mar 16
•
Neil Paine
12
1
The Women's Basketball Field Keeps Getting Better. So Does UConn.
In a year where the rest of the field may never have been deeper, the Huskies still might render that fact irrelevant.
Mar 11
•
Neil Paine
10
1
Miami of Ohio Is Undefeated, Unprecedented... and Still Uncertain
The RedHawks are just 3 wins away from a perfect regular season — and from potentially creating the weirdest at-large debate of the modern NCAA…
Feb 27
•
Neil Paine
11
1
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