NFL

Michael Penix Jr. Is Cursed! (Maybe.)

So might be Jayden Daniels, if QB-heavy draft history holds up.

Apr 26 •

NFL Teams Still Can't Beat the Draft

The NFL Draft remains an efficient market, for better or for worse.

Apr 25 •

Where to Find My Stats, Rankings, Content, Models and Data 📈 👀

A clearinghouse of all the different cool/useful stuff I keep on Substack.

Mar 26 •

Where Do the 2023-24 Chiefs Rank among the Toughest Super Bowl Paths?

Kansas City went through nearly all of the NFL's best teams en route to the championship.

Feb 15 •

📈2023 NFL Elo Ratings, Projections and Expected Points Added Rankings🏈

Power ratings and forecasts for every NFL team this season.

Feb 12 •

Patrick Mahomes Is Literally Impossible to Stop When You Need to Stop Him

Super Bowl LVIII proved once again that Mahomes is the undisputed king of the must-score drive.

Feb 12 •

There’s No Limit to the Bets You Can Make on Patrick Mahomes

The 49ers had the better team this season, and threw everything they had at Mahomes and the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII. It didn't matter.

Feb 12 •

Brock Purdy Is Only *Sort Of* a "System Quarterback"

Kyle Shanahan and a strong supporting cast can help a QB... but only so much.

Feb 8 •

🏈Bucky’s Bowls🦜 Returns: My Pet Parrot Picks the Super Bowl Winner

Everyone's favorite Sun Conure parrot, Bucky, will not — nay, cannot — be stopped from picking football games.

Feb 7 •

Expecting Patrick Mahomes’ Career to Match Tom Brady’s Is Unrealistic

Sure, it's possible for K.C.'s already legendary QB to catch the GOAT. But almost everything would have to go right from here.

Feb 6 •

How the Chiefs and Niners Made It (Back) to the Super Bowl

It's a matchup four years in the making, and the 49ers are hoping for a different outcome than the one they got against the Chiefs back in Super Bowl…

Feb 5 •

Belichick’s Statistical Secret Sauce: Can It Ever Be Replicated?

As the legendary coach awaits his next opportunity, we identify five major factors that were more correlated with his dynastic run in New England.

Jan 30 •

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