Statgeekery

📈2024 NFL Elo Ratings and Projections🏈

Power ratings, rankings and forecasts for every NFL team this season.

5 hrs ago •

It’s (Still) Kyle Larson’s Cup Series Championship to Lose

The best driver in NASCAR is a clear favorite — but he hasn’t crossed the finish line just yet.

Sep 27 •

Which World Series Archetype Fits Your Favorite Playoff Team?

I grouped every modern World Series champ into clusters — and found which category each 2024 contender would need to resemble to win.

Sep 25 •

NFL Passing Was Down in Week 1. What Does That Mean for the Rest of the Season?

We could be in for one of the worst aerial seasons in a very long time.

Sep 10 •

Let’s Track Who’s Adding (And Subtracting) the Most at the 2024 MLB Trade Deadline

I'm keeping a running tab of WAR gained and lost in this month's deals.

Jul 30 •

Is It Getting Harder for NBA Superteams to Win?

Moving beyond anecdote, some recent evidence suggests yes.

Jul 26 •

Who Are the 2024 Summer Olympics’ Biggest Favorites?

Looking at who the betting odds favor the most in Paris.

Jul 25 •

Who Should Buy — And Sell — At the 2024 MLB Trade Deadline?

The Doyle Number is so back, baby.

Jul 23 •

🏀 2023-24 NBA Estimated RAPTOR Player Ratings and Wins Above Replacement 🦖

Do you miss the old FiveThirtyEight RAPTOR ratings? I sure do. But while those are no longer updating via Disney (I don’t know their long-term future…

Jun 26 •

Neither Championship Sweep Happened. (BOY, Did They Ever Not Happen.)

Blowout Game 4 wins for the Mavericks and Oilers were as emphatic as any we've seen from teams down 0-3.

Jun 17 •

The Marlins, the Mets and Baseball’s Top Revolving-Door Teams

Which MLB franchises have been home to the most transient stars?

May 21 •

Jordan Montgomery to the Diamondbacks caps off MLB’s Best Offseason

Tracking which teams added the most net Wins Above Replacement (WAR) since the end of the 2023 season.

Mar 27 •

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