The other consideration could just be who's betting at FanDuel. While there's more opinionation in the lines than "balanced action uber alles" admits, risk management limits how far the lines stray from pure balancing.
Especially with futures, there's a fair amount of fan action (and comparatively little pro action relative to single games and series, thanks to high vig and tying up funds for a long time), so teams with fans in states where FanDuel is active should tend to have greater implied odds than those that don't (most of the teams that are underrated relative to FD odds are from such jurisdictions).
There's a story from years ago about the Las Vegas Hilton, in order to get a group from Minnesota to book a 1000-room block in February, giving everyone in this group a free $100 bet at the sportsbook. Everybody in the group basically used it to bet on the Twins to win the World Series; the sportsbook manager chewed out the host who authorized it.
The year: 1987. Even though the Twins won, the book ended up making money on baseball by shading lines to hedge out exposure to the Twins: I suspect that one could have written an article about how the Twins had a much better chance than the odds suggested.
Hah! That’s a fun story. And in this case, it would make sense that Winnipeg, as the league’s smallest market, might punch below its weight in terms of odds at a U.S. based book.
The other consideration could just be who's betting at FanDuel. While there's more opinionation in the lines than "balanced action uber alles" admits, risk management limits how far the lines stray from pure balancing.
Especially with futures, there's a fair amount of fan action (and comparatively little pro action relative to single games and series, thanks to high vig and tying up funds for a long time), so teams with fans in states where FanDuel is active should tend to have greater implied odds than those that don't (most of the teams that are underrated relative to FD odds are from such jurisdictions).
There's a story from years ago about the Las Vegas Hilton, in order to get a group from Minnesota to book a 1000-room block in February, giving everyone in this group a free $100 bet at the sportsbook. Everybody in the group basically used it to bet on the Twins to win the World Series; the sportsbook manager chewed out the host who authorized it.
The year: 1987. Even though the Twins won, the book ended up making money on baseball by shading lines to hedge out exposure to the Twins: I suspect that one could have written an article about how the Twins had a much better chance than the odds suggested.
Hah! That’s a fun story. And in this case, it would make sense that Winnipeg, as the league’s smallest market, might punch below its weight in terms of odds at a U.S. based book.