How do the Hurricanes odds drop so dramatically with a Jets victory? And related, why do Eastern Conference teams chances of reaching the Finals fluctuate based on the Jets/Blues series?
Some of the East stuff is likely due to randomization -- I pulled the subset of the simulations where STL won to get the hypothetical alternate universe odds, so we're dealing with a much smaller sample to generate the odds. And then I think things just got easier for the East teams to win the Cup conditional on making the Final, because the highest-rated team was no longer potentially present waiting for them there.
How do the Hurricanes odds drop so dramatically with a Jets victory? And related, why do Eastern Conference teams chances of reaching the Finals fluctuate based on the Jets/Blues series?
Some of the East stuff is likely due to randomization -- I pulled the subset of the simulations where STL won to get the hypothetical alternate universe odds, so we're dealing with a much smaller sample to generate the odds. And then I think things just got easier for the East teams to win the Cup conditional on making the Final, because the highest-rated team was no longer potentially present waiting for them there.