As strategies change, so do the number of candidates. When running was king, the battle was often between RBs...now, with passing taking over, it's QBs. The more QBs you have, the more the positional vote is split - leaving the Trophy for the one outlier performer at another position.
The real vote remains the one with dollars at the Draft. There, I suspect quarterbacks will dominate again as every QB mysteriously "moves up" some Draft board a week out after a meaningless workout in shorts. I know, I know...he's a freak who made every throw. Yawn.
In fact, the Heisman winner list you provide is a counter indicator of future success. It reminds me of a Dennis Miller joke from the 80s where he says that he never enters the Publishers Clearinghouse Sweepstakes after seeing all the "winners" on TV, since to do so was an admission that he opened that letter and...
..."you thought there were a lot of zeros in the prize. Sheesh."
Man, what a ship graveyard of wrecked and decaying professional careers that list is. Is it time to retire the Heisman forever? Now, there's a vote I could get behind.
Excellent point, Grant! If you add up the implied percentages for the QBs on the FanDuel list (we'll ignore adjusting for the vig), they sum up to 41.5%. While that's still lower than the combined share for Jeanty + Hunter (53.2%), it is considerably higher than either non-QB candidate has individually. So if we think that the QB group will eventually just coalesce that probability behind whichever candidate has that "Heisman moment", then whoever that may be would eventually become the favorite, potentially.
(And yes, Heisman winners are very often failures in the NFL, which is a whole other fascinating topic unto itself.)
As strategies change, so do the number of candidates. When running was king, the battle was often between RBs...now, with passing taking over, it's QBs. The more QBs you have, the more the positional vote is split - leaving the Trophy for the one outlier performer at another position.
The real vote remains the one with dollars at the Draft. There, I suspect quarterbacks will dominate again as every QB mysteriously "moves up" some Draft board a week out after a meaningless workout in shorts. I know, I know...he's a freak who made every throw. Yawn.
In fact, the Heisman winner list you provide is a counter indicator of future success. It reminds me of a Dennis Miller joke from the 80s where he says that he never enters the Publishers Clearinghouse Sweepstakes after seeing all the "winners" on TV, since to do so was an admission that he opened that letter and...
..."you thought there were a lot of zeros in the prize. Sheesh."
Man, what a ship graveyard of wrecked and decaying professional careers that list is. Is it time to retire the Heisman forever? Now, there's a vote I could get behind.
Excellent point, Grant! If you add up the implied percentages for the QBs on the FanDuel list (we'll ignore adjusting for the vig), they sum up to 41.5%. While that's still lower than the combined share for Jeanty + Hunter (53.2%), it is considerably higher than either non-QB candidate has individually. So if we think that the QB group will eventually just coalesce that probability behind whichever candidate has that "Heisman moment", then whoever that may be would eventually become the favorite, potentially.
(And yes, Heisman winners are very often failures in the NFL, which is a whole other fascinating topic unto itself.)